KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
4.75% or above 60%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 242,9
Liquiditeit
€ 8,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
9 jun 26, 15:30 UTC31 dec 26, 19:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.09% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.14% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 282,7K
- 24u volume
- € 12,2K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1K
- 24u volume
- € 3,1K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3K
- 24u volume
- € 2,3K
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end??
- Kalshi prijst 4.75% or above op 60% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? afgewikkeld?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.