KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
5% or above 99%Koploper van 26 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 10,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
17 sep 26, 23:45 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
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PolymarketRegels
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 459,6K
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,1K
- 24u volume
- € 1,8K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027??
- Kalshi prijst 5% or above op 99% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.