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  3. California governor primary margin of victory?
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

7.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing11mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% 95%+7.0%
Koploper van 18 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

49 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 11,5

Liquiditeit

€ 865

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

28 mei 26, 0:002 jun 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Xavier Becerra, 2-4%95%

Regels

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Karen Bass, 12-16%: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.