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Gegevens van 14 sep 2026, 11:35 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendBied / Laat
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 23:30 UTC14 okt 26, 12:25 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
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KalshiUS gasoline CPI for September
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - September 2026
PolymarketRegels
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 128,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29K
- 24u volume
- € 29K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi prijst No op 100% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? afgewikkeld?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? wordt naar verwachting op 14 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.