KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen handelsactiviteit
Gegevens van 11 sep 2026, 14:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
At least 1730K 0%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
26 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 17:45 UTC17 sep 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 104,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 8,2 mln.
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 100,3K
- 24u volume
- € 8,4K
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,8K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,3K
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,1K
- 24u volume
- € 3,3K
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi prijst At least 1730K op 0% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 17 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least