KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 4.8% 93%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
41 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
- Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q3 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,2 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 543,5K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Above 4.8% op 93% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.