KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 79%
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
20.0% / 29.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 22:00 UTC6 aug 27, 12:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
KalshiWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 3% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 4% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 5% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegels
If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The market will use the 12-month percent change reported by BLS in the Employment Situation release for series CES0500000003.
- Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,4K
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 314,7K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027??
- Kalshi prijst No op 79% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 6 augustus 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.