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FutuurRegels
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will complete a full withdrawal of its military troops from the internationally recognized territory of Georgia at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by the Russian or Georgian governments, or verified international monitoring reports confirming withdrawal.
- If Russia fully withdraws all military personnel from Georgian territory during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial withdrawals or redeployments that leave any Russian military presence in Georgia will not count.
- If official confirmations are disputed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.