Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.4%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd17 mrt 25, 05:29 UTC1 jan 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFrench, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsIs ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
- https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
- Resolves Yes if there is
- an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves according to the Wikipedia page