Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 71%
Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 918,5
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9
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0
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Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PolymarketWho will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
PredictItEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExRegels
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Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 45,5K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 997K
- 24u volume
- € 41,2K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026??
- Futuur prijst Yes op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.