Will there be exactly 6 rate cuts in 2026?

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate+1.0pt89.2%
• Hike 25bps6.1%
• Hike >25bps1.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 146,8K

24u volume

€ 5 mln.

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.0pt93.1%
• 25 bps increase+2.0pt6.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate+2.0pt93.5%
• Hike 25bps6.5%
• Hike >25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase74.8%
• No change20.4%
• 50+ bps increase-0.1pt2.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

• Exactly 0 cuts+0.4pt94.3%
• Exactly 6 cuts+3.5pt0.3%
• Exactly 1 cut

POLYMARKET

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.70%+0.5pt72%
• Below 4.65%-6.5pt63%
• Below 4.60%+7.0pt56%

+10 extra uitkomsten