PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 76.2%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
97,3 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 35.0%
Spread
23.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
17 apr 26, 21:31 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
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KalshiZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count.
- Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count.
- Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 419,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 380,7K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 406,2K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above98%
- $75,500 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 228,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 224,5K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
- $68,000 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 289,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 222,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 160-179+2.0pt20.2%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 140-159+6.0pt18.2%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- <40+29.5pt53.4%
- 40-64-12.0pt40.8%
- 65-89-13.5pt4.8%
+7 altri esiti
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 12, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Zohran Mamdani release another song??
- Polymarket quota No al 76% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Zohran Mamdani release another song??
- Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Zohran Mamdani release another song??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).