KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2030 35%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2030 35%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
11K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 01:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2030
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani release another song?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Zohran MamdaniThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Mayor of New York CityCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An acknowledgment that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.