Will US attack Iran by February 15?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 16 feb 2024, 07:02
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 147 giorni fa
Obsoleto22 gen 24, 23:3715 feb 24, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 22 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "military attack" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
- In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.4pt77%
- October 31+14.0pt60%
- September 30+11.5pt41%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.4pt100%
- August 31+3.0pt96%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt62.4%
- Yes+5.0pt37.6%
- Volume totale
- 8,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 288,8K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 51,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 249,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 202768%
- December+3.5pt54%
- September 30,+3.0pt25%
+8 altri esiti
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will US attack Iran by February 15??
- Polymarket quota No al 100% al 31 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will US attack Iran by February 15??
- Will US attack Iran by February 15? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 febbraio 2024.
- Come viene liquidato Will US attack Iran by February 15??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 22 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".