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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS Politics18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 3%
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

11,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 3.5%

Spread

75.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

17 dic 25, 21:1230 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes3%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.