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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitica18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026 0%-0.1%
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

8,9K €

Liquidità

44,1K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.4% / 0.5%

Spread

25.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

15 dic 25, 22:5630 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%
December 31
December 31
0%

Esito scelto

June 30, 20260%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Mercati Correlati

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,7 Mln €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,2 Mln €
July 31: 57%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

867,4K €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days?

4,7K €
Sì: 1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6K €
Sì: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

2,1K €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,794.11+2.01%EthereumETH$1,656.59+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.63%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.29%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$599.54+2.23%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskBitcoin recedes to $63,000 as Iran-Israel trade strikes and Korean stocks crashCoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.