Probabilità implicita attuale
No 97%+9.4pt
No 97%+9.4ptQualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,2K €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
1.3% / 3.8%
Spread
2.5 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
1
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
24 set 26, 19:19 UTC6 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) states in its tropical cyclone information that the center of Tropical Storm Surigae (JMA designation T2626; PAGASA local name "Queenie") made landfall on or crossed Japanese land, or publishes for T2626 a "Center position" under an "Analysis" heading whose coordinates fall on Japanese land, by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Either one is sufficient on its own.
- A qualifying Center position counts however briefly the center remains over land, and counts on an island of any size.
- "Japan" refers to all territory under the administration of Japan, including the four main islands (Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, and Shikoku), Okinawa, the Ryukyu Islands, the Ogasawara Islands, and all other Japanese islands.
- "Center position" is the field of that exact name in JMA's tropical cyclone information for T2626, and it is the only coordinate this market reads.