PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 82.2%-2.0pt
Sì 82.2%-2.0ptQualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,8K €
Liquidità
884,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
78.0% / 87.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
24 set 26, 22:44 UTC7 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Surigae makes landfall in Japan?
PolymarketHurricane Polo category?
KalshiHow strong will Hurricane Polo be?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Polo (NHC designation EP172026) made landfall in Mexico as a hurricane, by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The landfall must occur by that deadline; confirmation may arrive afterward.
- If Polo makes landfall more than once, any one qualifying landfall resolves this market to "Yes".
- A report means an explicit statement, in a Tropical Cyclone Update, Public Advisory (including intermediate and special advisories), or Discussion issued for Hurricane Polo, that the center made landfall or moved onshore.
- Landfall occurs when the surface center intersects the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.