KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
25,9K €
Liquidità
26,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
13 ago 26, 17:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii.
- Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i.
- It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 154,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 148,6K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 92,3K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 79,3K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.