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Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
October 31 9%-31.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
51,8 €
Liquidità
485,8 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
97
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 26, 22:511 nov 26, 3:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by which date??
- Polymarket quota October 31 al 9% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by which date??
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.