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Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 99%+1.8ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
676,1 €
Liquidità
11,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
0.9 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
4
Variazione 7g
+32.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 feb 26, 0:551 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494433° N, 37.377320° E in Sofiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture Sofiivka by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 99% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture Sofiivka by which date??
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture Sofiivka by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494433° N, 37.377320° E in Sofiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.