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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 99%+5.4ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
24,4K €
Liquidità
39,1K €
Alta liquiditàCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-7.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo29 lug 26, 23:311 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 99% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date??
- Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).