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Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 9%-6.0ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
461,3 €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
-6.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 mar 26, 0:131 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 9% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date??
- Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.