PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 35%-1.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
11,7K €
Liquidità
13K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.2% / 4.9%
Spread
53.1%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
6 feb 26, 0:2531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
December 3135%
Mercati Correlati
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
2K €Sì: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Drobysheve, Donetsk Oblast, (49°02'31.4"N 37°43'54.7"E) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Drobysheve will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.