PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 32%-5.5ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
21,8K €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 23:3630 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 32% al 28 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).