PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
8-10 41%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
37,3 €
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-7.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 22:10 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will this question get 100 traders in 515 days? (September 12, 2026) UTC
Manifold Markets# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
- Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized.
- Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
- A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
- This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized.
- If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Claude go down on __ days in September??
- Polymarket quota 8-10 al 41% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Claude go down on __ days in September??
- Will Claude go down on __ days in September? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Claude go down on __ days in September??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.