PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoRegolato dal provider, mercato per mercato
Risolto: 1 nov 2026, 06:08
Questo evento non ha un unico vincitore. Il provider ha regolato ogni mercato separatamente; ogni mercato mostra il proprio risultato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 nov 2026, 23:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Google5%
ByteDance2%
Moonshot5%
SpaceXAI2%
Alibaba2%
Amazon0%
Microsoft1%
DeepSeek1%
Meituan1%
Mistral5%
Meta1%
Baidu0%
Z.ai0%
AnthropicVinta
OpenAIVinta
AlibabaPersa
AmazonPersa
BaiduPersa
ByteDancePersa
DeepSeekPersa
GooglePersa
MeituanPersa
MetaPersa
MicrosoftPersa
MistralPersa
MoonshotPersa
SpaceXAIPersa
Z.aiPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.
- The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns.
- A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments.
