PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Amazon · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
Amazon 4%In testa tra 15 esiti
Amazon 4%Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
4,2K €
Liquidità mediaOpen interest
9,8K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
AmazonSpread
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Commenti
1
Variazione 7g
-41.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
15 set 26, 00:22 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
AnthropicVinta
OpenAIVinta
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · Amazon
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.
- The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns.
- A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments.
