Probabilità implicita attuale
Very strong 97%+0.5ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Very strong 97%+0.5ptQualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
559,8 €
Liquidità
12,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.6 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
+72.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 20:22 UTC16 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Choi-wan.
- Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Choi-wan in an analysis published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If JMA never assigns Choi-wan an intensity class, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- JMA's own bounds: "the named outcome" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "the named outcome" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
- JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY".