PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
6.5+ 84%In testa tra 6 esiti
6.5+ 84%Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
499,2 €
Liquidità
4,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
22.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
30 set 26, 14:01 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketHow strong will Rachel be?
PolymarketHow strong will Nolo be?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be listed by USGS with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title and listed as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- If an earthquake with an origin time within this market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude and timestamp of the event in question.
- If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.