PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 88.1%+3.0pt
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
25,4 €
Liquidità
2,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
1 lug 26, 21:37 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
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KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement.
- This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement.
- An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
- The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per USMCA extended in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve USMCA extended in 2026??
- USMCA extended in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato USMCA extended in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.