PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeSì 54%+0.1%
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
17K €
Liquidità
42,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+20.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
24 giu 26, 4:5220 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes54%
Grandi operazioni
$1.6k63.0%POLYMARKETNoPump8 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoPump8 gg fa$1.9k49.4%POLYMARKETNoWagmi42010 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoWagmi42010 gg fa$3.5k69.0%POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f319 gg fa
POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f319 gg faTrend del volume
$19.4k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounced prior extension of the 60-day negotiation period, or definitive agreement to extend the 60-day negotiation period.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU.
- Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an extension, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify.