PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 49%+0.1%
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
93,8 €
Liquidità
1,3K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
46.0% / 51.0%
Spread
10.9%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+10.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 22:3231 mar 27, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Yes49%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
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KALSHI
KALSHIWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
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Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.