PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%-4.0pt
Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
933,8 €
Liquidità
1,7K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
+2.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 22:25 UTC31 mar 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt83.2%
- No change-5.0pt15.8%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 131,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6 Mln €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 19,7K €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.0%+1.0pt98%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.2%+8.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt99%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 87,2K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 655,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
KALSHI2026: Trump's dream year?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 499,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,6K €
- Recession in 2027?
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Unemployment in September
- How many jobs added in September?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per UK Recession in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 90% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve UK Recession in 2026??
- UK Recession in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato UK Recession in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.