PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeNo 86.1%+0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
462,6 €
Liquidità
392,5 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 22:2531 mar 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes14%
Trend del volume
$5274 lug19g di dati29 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
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FORECASTEXAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.