PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.5–38.9 42.3%-4.0ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
1,2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 22:024 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 50%
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 822,8K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly-5.0pt22%
- Scott Jennings18%
- Maria Bartiromo14%
+26 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt60%
- October 31-1.0pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt17%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis+0.3pt5%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 53,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 275,4K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 55,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 262,2K €
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- What will Trump say during his GB News interview?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Polymarket quota 38.5–38.9 al 42% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Trump approval rating on September 4? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato Trump approval rating on September 4??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.