KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
39.7 to 39.9 55.5%+18.0ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
35,3K €
Liquidità
82,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 15:004 set 26, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 782,1K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 181,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 452,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 39.7 to 39.9 al 55% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.