PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
36.5–36.9 74.6%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
36.5–36.9 74.6%Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
867,2 €
Liquidità
806,6 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.1 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
2 ott 26, 22:10 UTC10 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 9, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026? · 37.6 to 37.8 49%