PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
↑ 47% 14%+0.3ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
12,8 €
Liquidità
5,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.9 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
12 dic 25, 00:41 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
Mercati aperti
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+35 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026??
- Polymarket quota ↑ 47% al 14% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026??
- How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.