PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.1% 29.9%-0.5ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
98,4 €
Liquidità
17,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:35 UTC2 ott 26, 08:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Mexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? · Exactly 4.1% 31%
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 611,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per September Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket quota 4.1% al 30% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve September Unemployment Rate?
- September Unemployment Rate dovrebbe risolversi il 2 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato September Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato September Unemployment Rate?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.