Probabilità implicita attuale
MLSTP 94.8%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
66,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 09:45 UTC27 set 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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KalshiRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner?
- Polymarket quota MLSTP al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner?
- São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner dovrebbe risolversi il 27 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.