KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
648,5 €
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
29 giu 26, 16:30 UTC30 giu 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi quota SNS-led list al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Serbian parliamentary election winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.