PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (100%)
Risolto: 9 mag 2026, 19:45
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Yes
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
32%
SorpresaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 100%+0.7pt
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
27,1 Mln €
Liquidità
2,4 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+90.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 79 giorni fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 19:2430 giu 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Yes
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 100% | — | 27,1 Mln € | 2,4 Mln € | 79 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets84% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 3% | — | — | — | 28 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Chiusi
Risolto
No (97.5%)
97.5%
2.5%
Previsione della comunità32 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.