Probabilità implicita attuale
Chris Hipkins 49%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
84,9 €
Liquidità
57,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
29 apr 26, 23:48 UTC7 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Prime Minister of New Zealand??
- Polymarket quota Chris Hipkins al 49% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Prime Minister of New Zealand??
- Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Prime Minister of New Zealand??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.