Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 95.5%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 25, 08:10 UTC7 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.
- It's likely the election will be held before that date so this will resolve on the election day.
- The date will be updated once the election date is announced, likely early 2026.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Christopher Luxon is still serving as the Prime Minister of New Zealand on the day the 2026 general election is held.
- The market will resolve to NO if: