Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 82.6%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 25, 08:10 UTC7 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.
- It's likely the election will be held before that date so this will resolve on the election day.
- The date will be updated once the election date is announced, likely early 2026.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Christopher Luxon is still serving as the Prime Minister of New Zealand on the day the 2026 general election is held.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.