Previsione della comunità attuale
Christopher Luxon 51%+36.7ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+36.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ott 26, 07:20 UTC8 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election? · Christopher Luxon 55%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 60%
