Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
7.6 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneMedio Oriente2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeHung Knesset (political deadlock) 52.8%-7.6ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
167
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+13.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 18:59 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election
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PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · No one 46%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Gadi Eisenkot 56%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Benjamin Netanyahu 45%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Benjamin Netanyahu 51%
