Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
2.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGadi Eizenkot 44%+2.5ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-2.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 18:59 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 60%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 58%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 59%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election? · Gadi Eisenkot 53%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 92%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Manifold Markets quota Gadi Eizenkot al 44% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Gemini, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets, PredictIt.