Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 17 lug 2026, 17:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 giorni fa
Obsoleto15 lug 26, 18:5930 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Confronta le piattaforme· Gadi Eizenkot
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto97% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 52% | — | 454,1K € | 2 Mln € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Kalshi83% di corrispondenza · collegato | Media | 52% | — | 2K € | 35,4K € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Futuur68% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 53% | — | 0 € | 3,1K € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless90% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 52% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets90% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 46% | — | — | — | 35 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets78% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 51% | — | — | — | 8 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 48% | — | — | — | 8 giorni fa | |
 PredictIt69% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 42% | — | — | — | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5m
+3.5%52%
-3.0%34%
7%
+25 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale26,1 Mln €
Volume 24h454,1K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3a
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità49 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1a
52%
50%
50%
+2 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale3,3K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1a
+4.0%52%
-2.0%33%
-2.0%10%
+15 altri esiti
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale62,2K €
Volume 24h2K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3m
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità100 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3a
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 altri esiti
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITDisponibile anche su Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3m
53%
37%
9%
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale879,4 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro5 h fa
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro5 h fa$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE3620 h fa
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE3620 h fa$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence3 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence3 gg fa$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE366 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE366 gg fa$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt8 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt8 gg fa$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside8 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside8 gg fa$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a111 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a111 gg fa$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter13 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter13 gg faTrend del volume
$45115 lug3g di dati17 lug
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POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.