PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
1470+ 94%+7.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
5K €
Liquidità
3,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
27 ago 26, 22:3931 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Mythos-class model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or "Fable" (e.g., Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Fable 6), or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.
- Anthropic's other model tiers, such as Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
Mercati aperti
AI
GEMINITOUR Championship Winner
- Viktor Hovland39%
- Scottie Scheffler19%
- Ryan Gerard16.5%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 203,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 60,9K €
GEMININC State vs Virginia
- Virginia100%
- NC State0%
- Volume totale
- 62,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 53K €
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt94%
- September 30+4.0pt92%
- September 15-3.0pt79%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.6pt66.7%
- ChatGPT+2.0pt14.3%
- Grok-1.7pt8.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,2 Mln €
KALSHIStealth market share this week
- Above 3.0%87.6%
- Above 4.5%-1.0pt2.6%
- Above 5%2.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 152,5K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.3pt58.6%
- SpaceX-0.5pt40.4%
- OpenAI+0.2pt1%
+9 altri esiti
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- Chicago vs Tennessee
- San Diego vs Tampa Bay
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut??
- Polymarket quota 1470+ al 94% al 30 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut??
- Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Mythos-class model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.