PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 35%+
Risolto: 12 set 2026, 23:29
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
35%+
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
99%
ConsensoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 13 set 2026, 14:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
35%+97%
40%+0%
45%+3%
50%+4%
55%+2%
35%+Vinta
40%+Persa
45%+Persa
50%+Persa
55%+Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Grok Model (4.6+) model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results.
- A qualifying SpaceXAI model must have “Grok” in its displayed model name and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, grok-4.6-high, grok-4.7-thinking, grok-5, or similar would qualify.
- Models whose displayed name does not include “Grok,” or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as grok-4.1-expert, grok-4.3-heavy, grok-4.5-GA will not qualify.
