PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 31 93%+5.0pt
Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
163,5 €
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
91.0% / 94.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
3 set 26, 00:00 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.7 Flash or Gemini 3.8 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Gemini 3.8 Flash (released September 2, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality or security variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, Gemini Flash Cyber, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date??
- Polymarket quota October 31 al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date??
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).