Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 22:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 70.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo14 ott 26, 05:14 UTC14 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if, between market creation and November 13, 2026 11:59 PM Pacific, Google makes a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" available to the public: in the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, the Gemini API, or Vertex AI.
- What counts:
- Any variant whose official name contains "Gemini 4 Flash": Preview, Experimental, Live, Image, Thinking and so on.
- A public preview counts, and so does a paid-tier-only release.
- Evidence: an official Google post (blog.google, developers.googleblog.com, cloud.google.com/blog) or the Gemini API changelog (ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/changelog) naming the model as available.
- What does NOT count:
