Military intervention in Niger by October 31?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 1 nov 2023, 06:38
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
17 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 123 giorni fa
Obsoleto18 set 23, 21:1131 ott 23, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between September 18, 2023 and October 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger.
- For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.