Megaquake by July 31?

2.5% (24h)One-OffScienza19g

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 7%-0.0%

Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

1,8K €

Liquidità

13,3K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread ampio

Variazione 7g

-5.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

17 giu 26, 20:0831 lug 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes7%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Trend del volume

$2.1k

2 lug11g di dati12 lug

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Are the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)

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Regole

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Megaquake by July 31?

2.5% (24h)One-OffScienza19g

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 7%-0.0%

Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

1,8K €

Liquidità

13,3K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread ampio

Variazione 7g

-5.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

17 giu 26, 20:0831 lug 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes7%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Trend del volume

$2.1k

2 lug11g di dati12 lug

Mercati Correlati

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95,2K €

Before August: 2%

KALSHI

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

64,1K €

December 31: 8%

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

14,8K €

2: 64%

POLYMARKET

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

7,7K €

Hong Wang: 91%

POLYMARKET

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

3,8K €

Sì: 85.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Are the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)

3,6K €

Sì: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,780.84-0.17%

EthereumETH$1,806.55+0.92%

SolanaSOL$76.84-0.09%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0728-0.82%

XRPXRP$1.09-1.09%

BNBBNB$574.47-0.25%

Notizie Correlate

NVIDIA BioNeMo Toolkit Accelerates AI-Driven Drug DiscoveryBlockchain.News

Nvidia NVSHMEM Boosts GROMACS GPU Scaling for Molecular DynamicsBlockchain.News

Quantum Computing Boosts Fusion Fuel Research with Molten SaltsBlockchain.News

What Is Q-Day? The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin ExplainedDecrypt

Can Quantum Computers Break Bitcoin? The 2026 Answer, ExplainedBlockchain Reporter

NVIDIA BioNeMo Toolkit Powers AI Agents in Life SciencesBlockchain.News

Regole

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.